Home Watch Don’t Let the Rain Fool You El Niño Still Looms

Don’t Let the Rain Fool You El Niño Still Looms

South Africa is heading into the 2026–27 summer crop season on a much better footing than in previous difficult drought years, with strong grain stocks, improved soil moisture, healthy dam levels and a generally good 2025–26 harvest.

Don’t Let the Rain Fool You El Niño Still Looms

But despite the welcome rains received in the past week, the El Niño threat has not disappeared – and farmers are still facing the prospect of a challenging growing season.

In this episode of AgriView with Wandile, Wandile Sihlobo looks at what the latest rainfall means for planting conditions, grazing, water supplies and the outlook for field crops.

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He also considers the pressures facing farmers, from fertiliser and fuel costs to uncertain weather, and what a difficult season could mean for food price inflation.

The message is one of cautious optimism: South Africa is not entering the new season in crisis, but the months ahead will require resilience, careful monitoring and a little help from the weather.

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Wandile Sihlobo
WANDILE SIHLOBO is chief economist of the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz) and a member of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Economic Advisory Council as well as the Advisory Panel on Land Reform and Agriculture
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