Home Watch El Niño outlook: Is Southern Africa heading for another drought?

El Niño outlook: Is Southern Africa heading for another drought?

Agricultural economist Wandile Sihlobo examines what the developing El Niño could mean for South Africa’s 2026/27 summer crop season. Despite the risk of drier conditions, healthy dam levels, good soil moisture, record grain harvests and strong carryover stocks leave the country relatively well prepared. He also considers the possible effects on food prices, grain exports, neighbouring countries and regional food security should El Niño intensify.

Will a looming El Niño trigger another devastating drought, soaring food prices and a food security crisis in Southern Africa? In this episode of AgriView with Wandile, agricultural economist Wandile Sihlobo unpacks what current weather forecasts mean for the 2026/27 summer crop season and explains why South Africa may be better prepared than many fear.

From healthy dam levels and exceptional soil moisture to record grain harvests and strong carryover stocks, he explores why the country enters this cycle from a position of relative strength. The discussion also examines what consumers and farmers should realistically expect over the coming months. Will food prices rise?

ADVERTISEMENT

Can South Africa continue exporting grain while supporting neighbouring countries? And what are the biggest risks if El Niño intensifies? Watch now for a balanced, evidence-based analysis of one of the most important issues facing agriculture, food security and the economy in the year ahead.

Free newsletter

South Africa’s Weekly Farming News — Free Every Tuesdays

Join 17,188+ readers for the latest agriculture news, market updates, and farming insights.

No spam. Unsubscribe any time.

✓ You're subscribed! Check your inbox for a confirmation.

ADVERTISEMENT

More Videos

Dimakatso Phala
Web Administrator for the most widely read farming magazine, proudly serving the agricultural community since 1911.
Send this to a friend