Home Watch Middle East conflict poses major risk to SA agriculture

Middle East conflict poses major risk to SA agriculture

As farmers prepare for the 2026/27 summer grain season, Wandile Sihlobo examines how renewed conflict in the Middle East could raise fertiliser and fuel costs, disrupt global supply chains and further squeeze farm profitability. He explains why geopolitical developments are becoming as important as local weather conditions and considers the implications for producers, agribusinesses and regional food security.

As South African farmers prepare for the 2026/27 summer grain season, geopolitical tensions have once again emerged as a major source of uncertainty.

In this episode of AgriView, Wandile Sihlobo explains how renewed conflict in the Middle East could affect fertiliser and fuel prices, disrupt global supply chains, and place additional pressure on farm profitability at a time when commodity prices are already under strain.

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The discussion unpacks why global events are becoming just as important as local weather patterns for South African agriculture, and what these developments could mean for producers, agribusinesses and food security across the region. Watch for expert insight into the risks shaping the season ahead and the resilience required to navigate an increasingly uncertain operating environment.

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Wandile Sihlobo
WANDILE SIHLOBO is chief economist of the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz) and a member of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Economic Advisory Council as well as the Advisory Panel on Land Reform and Agriculture
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