Confidence in agribusiness tumbled in the first quarter of 2009 on the back of the global financial crisis, alongside business confidence in the small, medium and micro-enterprises (SMME) sector.
According to Prof Nicholas Biekpe, president of the Africagrowth Institute, the overall Business Confidence Index fell 27,28% compared to the last quarter of 2008.
And the year-on-year drop in the ABC/Industrial Development Corporation agribusiness confidence index was 29,42% for the first quarter of 2009, according to Lindie Botha, manager of economic intelligence at the Agricultural Business Chamber (ABC). She added the decreases in sub-indices for turnover and nett operating income, to which farmers contribute directly, may indicate farmers have less disposable money.
Although the sub-index for financing costs decreased, the sub-index for debtor provision for bad debt didn’t decrease with it. This indicates farmers may be having a difficult time paying debt to agribusinesses. Botha said this may be because harvesting hasn’t started.
However, increases in sub-indices for employment and capital investment for agribusinesses, as well as an increase in tractor sales, may indicate farmers still have capital to invest. – Drieka Burger
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