Home Watch South Africa’s crop estimates for the 2026-27 season

South Africa’s crop estimates for the 2026-27 season

South Africa’s latest crop estimates paint a challenging picture for winter grains, with wheat production falling to its lowest level in eight years.

South Africa’s crop estimates for the 2026-27 season

In this episode of AgriView with Wandile, Wandile Sihlobo unpacks the lasts Crop Estimate Committee’s report so far in the 2026-27 season, exploring the impact of unfavourable weather conditions and rising input costs on the 2026 wheat harvest.

With domestic production declining, South Africa is expected to import around 2 million tonnes of wheat. But should consumers be concerned? Wandile examines global wheat supplies, price pressures and the delicate balance between protecting farmers and consumers.

ADVERTISEMENT

Looking ahead to the 2026/27 summer grain and oilseed season, planting intentions reveal a sector navigating rising fuel and fertiliser costs, lower commodity prices and the threat of El Niño-induced drought.

While the overall area planted is expected to remain close to the five-year average, maize plantings are set to decline significantly, while sunflower seed plantings are projected to increase by 45%.

What do these early indications tell us about the season ahead, and how will weather conditions shape the final harvest? Join us as we unpack the numbers and the implications for South African agriculture.

ADVERTISEMENT

More Videos

Wandile Sihlobo
WANDILE SIHLOBO is chief economist of the Agricultural Business Chamber of South Africa (Agbiz) and a member of President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Economic Advisory Council as well as the Advisory Panel on Land Reform and Agriculture
Send this to a friend