These figures were calculated by Marinus van Dyk, vice-chairperson of the Limpopo Red Meat Producers’ Organisation (RPO). The R12/kg average selling price is based on this organisation’s weekly guideline prices. Van Dyk used factors like the cost of land, water, interest rates on loans, machinery, bull costs, fencing, profits on culled cows and wages to determine the cost of producing a weaner.
“If a farmer cannot buy 15kg of maize for every kilo of meat – calculated by the worth of the selling value – it will not be profitable to farm with weaners,” said Van Dyk. In other words, there needs to be a 15:1 ratio between maize and meat. Besides the feeding costs, Van Dyk also used an average land value of R3 500 per hectare. Although there are areas where land is still worth far less than this, Van Dyk said land in areas like the Waterberg can fetch as much as R10 000 per hectare.
He also worked on the basis of a capital investment of a farm loan between 10% to 15%, but believes the average farmer owes more like 20% on his/her land. Wages were worked out based on minimum loans and Van Dyk used a 80% calving percentage. He therefore believes this is a very “optimistic” study and said it probably reflects what better farmers will earn. Although the picture currently looks quite bleak, it was better earlier in the year when farmers received between R15/kg and R17/kg sold. Japie Ellis, chairperson of the RPO in Limpopo, pointed out that the benefit of cheaper weaners does not spill over to the end users. It is the general feeling that cattle farmers have to subsidise the rest of the value chain, he said. – Susan Botes